Climate Change Models for
Supplemental content (right column)
A climate change scenario is a description of a possible future climate based on assumptions of how the earth's climate operates, future world population levels, economic activity and greenhouse gas emissions. We have interpolated several climate change scenarios for use in climate change impact studies.
Models of average monthly minimum and maximum temperature and total precipitation are available at this web site for the CGCM2, HadleyCM3 and CSIRO-Mk2, A2 and B2 scenarios for the following 30-year average periods: 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. The models can be viewed or downloaded. The future scenario values can also be compared to current (1971-2000) averages. Models for individual years (2011-2100) are available by request from Dan McKenney.
Please see our report "High-resolution climate change scenarios for North America" for technical details and the full description of all the data that have been generated.
Species Distribution based on Current Climate
Species Climatic Distribution based on Future Climate Scenarios
CGCM31 A2
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
CGCM31 B1
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
CGCM31 A1B
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
CSIROmk35 A2
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
CSIROmk35 B1
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
CSIROmk35 A1B
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
MIROC32mr A2
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
MIROC32mr B1
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
MIROC32mr A1B
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
NCARccsm3 A2
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
NCARccsm3 B1
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
NCARccsm3 A1B
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
Composite A2
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
Composite B1
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
Composite A1B
2011-2040
2041-2070
2071-2100
Additional Information
A2 Scenario family
IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios
B2 Scenario family
IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios
CGCM2 (Canadian General Circulation Model 2)
For information on the CGCM2 model see: http://www.cccma.bc.ec.gc.ca/
HADCM3 (Hadley Circulation Model 3)
For information on the Hadley climate model see: http://www.cccma.bc.ec.gc.ca/
CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation)
For information on the CSIRO climate model see: http://www.dar.csiro.au/publications/
For information about climate change scenario data see the International Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Data Distribution Centre (UK) - http://ipcc-ddc.cru.uea.ac.uk/
OR the Canadian Climate Change Impacts Scenarios web site - http://www.cics.uvic.ca/